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Will Texas qualify for the College Football Playoffs?

Closes 29 Dec 2026 · Source: Kalshi · updated 4 min ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
98%
1h ±024h +247d +21

As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 98%, up 24 points in 24 hours. Latest big move (+23 pts on November 15, 2026): Texas stuns LSU.

Chance over time

70%80%90%100%12:0018:0000:0006:0012:0018:0000:0006:0012:0018:0000:0006:00 +23 pts: Texas stuns LSU.

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

· 74% → 96% in 1h
Texas stuns LSU. Source ↗
+23 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Kalshi $21K
98%
Kalshi rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of will Texas qualify for the College Football Playoffs right now?

As of 08:20 UTC on November 15, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 98%, up 24 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 98¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 98 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 98% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of will Texas qualify for the College Football Playoffs change?

The latest big move was +23 pts on November 15, 2026: Texas stuns LSU. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on December 29, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
98%
7-day range
74% – 98%
Big moves recorded
1 (latest November 15, 2026)
Venues
Kalshi $21K 24h volume
Closes
December 29, 2026
Tracked since
November 12, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of will Texas qualify for the College Football Playoffs at 98% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-texas-qualify-for-the-college-football-playoffs).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).