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Odds hubs

Odds for the events everyone is watching

One page per scheduled catalyst: the Fed, inflation, jobs, the Super Bowl, shutdowns and the next election, with every live market and what moves it.

Fed rate decision odds
Prediction markets on what the Federal Reserve does at its next meeting: cut, hold or hike, and by how much. Prices below are what traders…
CPI inflation report odds
Markets on the monthly U.S. Consumer Price Index: will inflation come in above or below a threshold? These contracts resolve on the Bureau…
Jobs report odds
Markets on the monthly U.S. employment report: payroll growth and the unemployment rate. Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on the…
Super Bowl odds
Prediction-market odds for the Super Bowl and the conference championships: each contract pays $1 if that team wins, so a price of 15¢…
Government shutdown odds
Markets on whether the U.S. federal government shuts down at the next funding deadline, and for how long. Prices are the crowd’s live…
2028 presidential election odds
Early prediction-market odds for the 2028 U.S. presidential election: nominees and the winner. These markets are thin and far from…