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Journalists, researchers and bloggers may quote our market-implied probabilities freely, with a link. Every market page has a “Cite this market” box with a ready sentence and a timestamp.

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Example: Prediction markets put the chance of a December rate cut at 77% as of November 8, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/…).

What the number is: the volume-weighted “Yes” price across Kalshi and Polymarket, refreshed every 2 minutes, with the time shown next to it. What it is not: a forecast, advice or our opinion. Please link to the market page so readers can see the live figure and its history.

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