+17pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
38%now
Snapshot ·
Erik Van Rooyen leads at the end of Round 1
38%
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
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Prediction markets put the chance of erik Van Rooyen leads at the end of Round 1 at 38% as of 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/erik-van-rooyen-leads-at-the-end-of-round-1/at/2026-11-15-0820).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.