−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
93%now
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Prediction markets put the chance of israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22 at 93% as of 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-22/at/2026-11-15-0820).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.