−8pts · 1h
Trump closed down Iran negotiations. Source ↗
86%now
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Prediction markets put the chance of israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30 at 86% as of 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-30/at/2026-11-15-0820).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.