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Snapshot ·

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?

35%

This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:30 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.

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Cite this snapshot

Prediction markets put the chance of uS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8 at 35% as of 2026-11-15 08:30 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-november-8/at/2026-11-15-0830).

Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.