Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
As of , polymarket traders put the chance of “Yes” at 72%, unchanged over 24 hours.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
No big moves recorded yet. Follow this market and we will tell you when it swings.
Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.
By venue
Questions about this market
What are the odds of variational FDV above $800M one day after launch right now?
As of 07:30 UTC on November 13, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 72%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 72¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 72 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 72% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of variational FDV above $800M one day after launch change?
No move of 5 points or more has been recorded yet. When one happens, it appears above with the headline that likely caused it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on January 1, 2028. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 72%
- 7-day range
- 72% – 79%
- Big moves recorded
- 0
- Venues
- Polymarket $113K 24h volume
- Closes
- January 1, 2028
- Tracked since
- November 12, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of variational FDV above $800M one day after launch at 72% as of November 13, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/variational-fdv-above-800m-one-day-after-launch).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:30 UTC).