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Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?

Closes 01 Dec 2026 · Source: Polymarket · updated 5 d ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
68%
1h ±024h ±07d −5

As of , polymarket traders put the chance of “Yes” at 68%, unchanged over 24 hours. Latest big move (−8 pts on November 9, 2026): Bitcoin bulls can't rely on ETF flows.

Chance over time

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

· 72% → 65% in 1h
Bitcoin bulls can't rely on ETF flows. Source ↗
−8 pts
· 81% → 72% in 1h
Explanation removed after review.
−9 pts
· 72% → 63% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
−9 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Polymarket $58K
68%
Polymarket rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November right now?

As of 08:00 UTC on November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 68%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 68¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 68 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 68% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November change?

The latest big move was −8 pts on November 9, 2026: Bitcoin bulls can't rely on ETF flows. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on December 1, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
68%
7-day range
62% – 79%
Big moves recorded
3 (latest November 9, 2026)
Venues
Polymarket $58K 24h volume
Closes
December 1, 2026
Tracked since
November 8, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November at 68% as of November 10, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-bitcoin-dip-to-72-500-in-november).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:30 UTC).