−9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
Snapshot ·
Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2027?
47%
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Big moves before this moment
−11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
−9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
Cite this snapshot
Prediction markets put the chance of will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2027 at 47% as of 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-howard-lutnick-be-out-as-commerce-secretary-before-jan-1-2027/at/2026-11-15-0800).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.