+14pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
95%now
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Prediction markets put the chance of will it be confirmed that an equipment, software, power or telecommunications failure caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 at 95% as of 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-it-be-confirmed-that-an-equipment-software-power-or-telecommunications/at/2026-11-15-0800).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.