+8pts · 1h
Moved after: 3,000+ flights canceled after FAA’s ground stop Source ↗
99%now
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Prediction markets put the chance of will it be confirmed that maintenance, an upgrade or another planned change to an FAA or contractor system caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 at 99% as of 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-it-be-confirmed-that-maintenance-an-upgrade-or-another-planned-change-to/at/2026-11-15-0800).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.