+13pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
8%now
Snapshot ·
Will it rain in Chicago on Nov 12, 2026?
8%
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Big moves before this moment
+10pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
8%now
+10pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
8%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
8%now
Cite this snapshot
Prediction markets put the chance of will it rain in Chicago on Nov 12, 2026 at 8% as of 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-it-rain-in-chicago-on-nov-12-2026/at/2026-11-15-0820).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.