Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
As of , polymarket traders put the chance of “Yes” at 42%, unchanged over 24 hours. Latest big move (+8 pts on November 9, 2026): Trump joked about Dana White for press secretary.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.
By venue
Questions about this market
What are the odds of will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027 right now?
As of 10:20 UTC on November 9, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 42%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 42¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 42 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 42% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027 change?
The latest big move was +8 pts on November 9, 2026: Trump joked about Dana White for press secretary. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on January 1, 2027. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 42%
- 7-day range
- 34% – 42%
- Big moves recorded
- 1 (latest November 9, 2026)
- Venues
- Polymarket $54K 24h volume
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
- Tracked since
- November 7, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027 at 42% as of November 9, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-pete-hegseth-leave-the-trump-administration-before-2027).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:30 UTC).