−16pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
16%now
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Prediction markets put the chance of will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027 at 16% as of 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-pete-hegseth-leaves-secretary-of-defense-in-before-2027/at/2026-11-15-0820).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.