+23pts · 1d
Peltola grows lead in Alaska’s U.S. Senate race. Source ↗
97%now
Snapshot ·
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the U.S. Senate election in Alaska be at least 4 percentage points?
97%
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Big moves before this moment
+13pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
97%now
+19pts · 1h
Related news: Peltola vs. Sullivan not alone: 24 Alaska races still too close to call Source ↗ 🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
97%now
+8pts · 1h
Alaskans voted to keep ranked choice voting. Source ↗ 🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
97%now
Cite this snapshot
Prediction markets put the chance of will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the U.S. Senate election in Alaska be at least 4 percentage points at 97% as of 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-mary-peltola-in-the-u-s-senate-election-in-2/at/2026-11-15-0800).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.