+20pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
73%now
Snapshot ·
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 4%?
73%
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
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Cite this snapshot
Prediction markets put the chance of will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 4% at 73% as of 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-no-in-the-2026-california-proposition-40/at/2026-11-15-0820).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.