−17pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
59%now
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Prediction markets put the chance of will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026 at 59% as of 2026-11-15 08:00 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-there-be-more-than-20-transit-calls-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-from-nov/at/2026-11-15-0800).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.