Closes 01 Jan 2027 · Source: Polymarket · updated 4 min ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
63%
1h +224h +167d +21
As of , polymarket traders put the chance of “Yes” at 63%, up 16 points in 24 hours. Latest big move (+17 pts on November 15, 2026): Bitcoin fell 4.5% in the last 24 hours, to about $64,299 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
· 47% → 64% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 4.5% in the last 24 hours, to about $64,299 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+17 pts
· 69% → 59% in 1h
Bitcoin rose 4.1% in the last hour, to about $65,162 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $4K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
−10 pts
· 68% → 77% in 1h
Bitcoin fell 1.7% in the last hour, to about $63,019 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+9 pts
· 39% → 69% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 6.9% in the last 24 hours, to about $63,452 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+31 pts
· 38% → 64% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 5.9% in the last 24 hours, to about $64,809 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+26 pts
· 37% → 59% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 4.8% in the last 24 hours, to about $65,331 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+22 pts
· 34% → 52% in 1d
A force may amplify bitcoin price volatility. Source ↗
+18 pts
· 33% → 46% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 3.0% in the last 24 hours, to about $67,190 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+13 pts
· 43% → 51% in 1h
Bitcoin fell 1.3% in the last hour, to about $66,778 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $53K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
+9 pts
Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.
What are the odds of will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026 right now?
As of 08:20 UTC on November 15, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 63%, up 16 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 63¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 63 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 63% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026 change?
The latest big move was +17 pts on November 15, 2026: Bitcoin fell 4.5% in the last 24 hours, to about $64,299 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on January 1, 2027. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026 at 63% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-bitcoin-dip-to-60-000-by-december-31-2026).