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Daily recap · · weekly recaps →

What moved prediction markets on November 14, 2026

We recorded 175 big moves on November 14, 2026: 123 up and 52 down. The largest was “Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?”, up 72 points (29% → >99%). Crypto had the most activity, with 90 moves.

+68pts · 1d
NEWEconomics32% → 99%1 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+63pts · 1d
NEWEconomics32% → 94%1 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+42pts · 1h
NEWCrypto46% → 88%11 h ago
Bitcoin fell 2.6% in the last hour, to about $63,943 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+40pts · 1d
NEWCulture43% → 83%14 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
97%now
+40pts · 1d
NEWCrypto25% → 65%11 h ago
Bitcoin fell 5.0% in the last 24 hours, to about $65,380 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+37pts · 1h
NEWCrypto14% → 51%10 h ago
Bitcoin fell 0.5% in the last hour, to about $64,391 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $6K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
52%now
+35pts · 1d
NEWCrypto25% → 60%16 h ago
Bitcoin fell 4.8% in the last 24 hours, to about $65,553 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+35pts · 1d
NEWCrypto17% → 52%19 h ago
Bitcoin fell 3.1% in the last 24 hours, to about $67,001 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+29pts · 1d
NEWCrypto26% → 55%23 h ago
Bitcoin fell 2.4% in the last 24 hours, to about $66,988 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+28pts · 1d
NEWSports19% → 47%19 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
46%now
−27pts · 1h
NEWWeather72% → 45%16 h ago
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
43%now
+27pts · 1d
NEWCulture32% → 59%1 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
63%now
+26pts · 1d
NEWCrypto17% → 43%21 h ago
Bitcoin fell 3.0% in the last 24 hours, to about $67,209 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
−24pts · 1h
NEWCrypto38% → 14%1 d ago
Bitcoin fell 1.3% in the last hour, to about $66,773 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $3K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
<1%now
+23pts · 1d
NEWCrypto10% → 32%10 h ago
Bitcoin fell 5.8% in the last 24 hours, to about $64,349 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
33%now
+22pts · 1h
NEWCrypto59% → 81%15 h ago
Ethereum fell 1.1% in the last hour, to about $1,820 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $28K of large orders in that window, split between YES and NO.
>99%now
+21pts · 1d
NEWCulture78% → 99%20 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+20pts · 1d
NEWCrypto1% → 22%15 h ago
Bitcoin fell 5.2% in the last 24 hours, to about $65,045 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
37%now
+20pts · 1d
NEWCulture32% → 52%1 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
63%now
+20pts · 1d
NEWCrypto1% → 21%11 h ago
Bitcoin fell 5.0% in the last 24 hours, to about $65,390 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
37%now
+20pts · 1h
NEWCrypto34% → 53%9 h ago
Bitcoin fell 1.2% in the last hour, to about $63,621 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $10K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
37%now
+19pts · 1d
NEWCrypto5% → 24%9 h ago
Bitcoin fell 7.1% in the last 24 hours, to about $63,369 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
20%now
−18pts · 1h
NEWCrypto79% → 61%1 d ago
Bitcoin rose 0.3% in the last hour, to about $66,879 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
29%now
+18pts · 1d
NEWCulture40% → 57%18 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
63%now
+17pts · 1h
NEWCrypto25% → 42%15 h ago
Bitcoin fell 0.4% in the last hour, to about $65,417 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
−16pts · 1d
NEWEconomics32% → 16%22 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
12%now
+16pts · 1d
NEWEconomics13% → 29%18 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
28%now
−16pts · 1h
NEWSports75% → 59%10 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
35%now
+16pts · 1h
NEWCrypto85% → >99%1 d ago
Bitcoin fell 1.5% in the last hour, to about $67,200 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+15pts · 1d
NEWCrypto35% → 50%1 d ago
Bitcoin fell 1.2% in the last 24 hours, to about $67,270 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+15pts · 1h
NEWCrypto20% → 35%1 d ago
Bitcoin is little changed over the last hour, near $68,158 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+15pts · 1h
NEWCrypto49% → 64%1 d ago
Bitcoin fell 1.4% in the last hour, to about $66,682 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $6K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
>99%now
+15pts · 1h
NEWSports26% → 41%10 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
>99%now
−14pts · 1h
NEWSports74% → 60%10 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
<1%now
+14pts · 1d
NEWCrypto<1% → 15%13 h ago
Bitcoin fell 4.7% in the last 24 hours, to about $65,715 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
37%now
−13pts · 1d
NEWTech29% → 16%21 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
23%now
+14pts · 1h
NEWSports41% → 54%12 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
57%now
+14pts · 1d
NEWCrypto5% → 19%11 h ago
Bitcoin fell 5.4% in the last 24 hours, to about $65,148 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
20%now
+13pts · 1d
NEWCrypto10% → 22%1 d ago
Bitcoin fell 2.2% in the last 24 hours, to about $66,981 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
−12pts · 1h
NEWSports63% → 50%12 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
35%now
+12pts · 1h
NEWCrypto37% → 50%13 h ago
Bitcoin fell 0.5% in the last hour, to about $65,503 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+12pts · 1h
NEWCulture77% → 88%1 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
97%now
+12pts · 1h
NEWSports32% → 43%14 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
57%now
+11pts · 1h
NEWCrypto80% → 91%1 d ago
Bitcoin is little changed over the last hour, near $68,216 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $3K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
56%now
−11pts · 1h
NEWCrypto86% → 75%10 h ago
Bitcoin fell 1.6% in the last hour, to about $64,624 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
80%now
+11pts · 1h
NEWCrypto76% → 87%9 h ago
Bitcoin fell 0.9% in the last hour, to about $63,823 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $7K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
>99%now
−10pts · 1h
NEWSports62% → 51%12 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $250K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
<1%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWCrypto55% → 65%1 d ago
Bitcoin fell 1.1% in the last hour, to about $67,460 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
>99%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWCrypto80% → 89%1 d ago
Bitcoin is little changed over the last hour, near $67,259 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
29%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWCrypto51% → 61%15 h ago
Bitcoin fell 0.7% in the last hour, to about $65,207 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $3K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
>99%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWCrypto85% → 95%15 h ago
Bitcoin fell 0.4% in the last hour, to about $65,417 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $16K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWCulture61% → 70%1 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
97%now
−9pts · 1h
NEWEconomics32% → 22%1 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
12%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWEconomics66% → 76%19 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
93%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWEconomics83% → 93%9 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
93%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto14% → 23%14 h ago
Bitcoin rose 0.7% in the last hour, to about $65,768 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
33%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto73% → 82%1 d ago
Bitcoin fell 1.5% in the last hour, to about $67,200 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
>99%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto53% → 61%1 d ago
Bitcoin rose 0.4% in the last hour, to about $67,299 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
56%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto30% → 39%20 h ago
Bitcoin is little changed over the last hour, near $67,098 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $10K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
>99%now
−9pts · 1h
NEWWeather87% → 77%19 h ago
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
43%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto5% → 13%1 d ago
Bitcoin fell 0.8% in the last hour, to about $67,705 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto43% → 51%1 d ago
Bitcoin fell 1.3% in the last hour, to about $66,778 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $53K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
63%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto79% → 87%1 d ago
Bitcoin rose 0.3% in the last hour, to about $66,865 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $13K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWEconomics73% → 81%24 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
93%now
−8pts · 1h
NEWEconomics26% → 18%23 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $3K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
22%now
−8pts · 1h
NEWEconomics92% → 83%11 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
93%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto85% → 94%11 h ago
Ethereum fell 1.1% in the last hour, to about $1,814 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
>99%now
+8pts · 1h
NEWSports39% → 47%12 h ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $24K of large orders in that window, split between YES and NO.
>99%now
+8pts · 1h
NEWCrypto24% → 32%16 h ago
Bitcoin fell 1.1% in the last hour, to about $65,106 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
35%now

Call it results

79% at lock → 79% at midnight UTC
54% at lock → 54% at midnight UTC
84% at lock → 84% at midnight UTC