Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
As of , polymarket traders put the chance of “Yes” at 91%.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
No big moves recorded yet. Follow this market and we will tell you when it swings.
Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.
By venue
Questions about this market
What are the odds of israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15 right now?
As of 16:20 UTC on November 8, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 91%. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 91¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 91 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 91% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15 change?
No move of 5 points or more has been recorded yet. When one happens, it appears above with the headline that likely caused it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on November 16, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 91%
- 7-day range
- 83% – 92%
- Big moves recorded
- 0
- Venues
- Polymarket $228K 24h volume
- Closes
- November 16, 2026
- Tracked since
- November 7, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15 at 91% as of November 8, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-november-15).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 16:20 UTC).