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Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?

Closes 01 Dec 2026 · Source: Polymarket · updated 2 min ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
20%
1h ±024h +107d +14

As of , polymarket traders put the chance of “Yes” at 20%, up 10 points in 24 hours. Latest big move (−11 pts on November 15, 2026): Bitcoin rose 4.1% in the last hour, to about $65,162 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.

Alert me when it moves

Chance over time

0%10%20%30%40%18:0000:0006:0012:0018:0000:0006:00 −11 pts: Bitcoin rose 4.1% in the last hour, to about $65,162 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+25 pts: Bitcoin fell 7.9% in the last 24 hours, to about $62,871 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+19 pts: Bitcoin fell 7.1% in the last 24 hours, to about $63,369 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+14 pts: Bitcoin fell 5.4% in the last 24 hours, to about $65,148 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

· 27% → 16% in 1h
Bitcoin rose 4.1% in the last hour, to about $65,162 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $6K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
−11 pts
· 5% → 30% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 7.9% in the last 24 hours, to about $62,871 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+25 pts
· 5% → 24% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 7.1% in the last 24 hours, to about $63,369 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+19 pts
· 5% → 19% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 5.4% in the last 24 hours, to about $65,148 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+14 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Polymarket $152K
20%
Polymarket rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November right now?

As of 08:00 UTC on November 15, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 20%, up 10 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 20¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 20 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 20% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November change?

The latest big move was −11 pts on November 15, 2026: Bitcoin rose 4.1% in the last hour, to about $65,162 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on December 1, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
20%
7-day range
5% – 36%
Big moves recorded
4 (latest November 15, 2026)
Venues
Polymarket $152K 24h volume
Closes
December 1, 2026
Tracked since
November 13, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November at 20% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-bitcoin-dip-to-55-000-in-november).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:00 UTC).