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Will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?

Closes 01 Dec 2026 · Source: Kalshi · updated 2 d ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
>99%
1h ±024h ±07d +41

As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at >99%, unchanged over 24 hours. Latest big move (−14 pts on November 13, 2026): Bitcoin is little changed over the last hour, near $69,136 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.

Alert me when it moves

Chance over time

60%80%100%WedThuFriSatSun −14 pts: Bitcoin is little changed over the last hour, near $69,136 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+46 pts: Bitcoin fell 6.5% in the last 24 hours, to about $68,915 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+35 pts: Bitcoin fell 4.0% in the last 24 hours, to about $70,704 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+30 pts: Bitcoin fell 3.5% in the last 24 hours, to about $71,265 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+24 pts: Bitcoin fell 3.9% in the last 24 hours, to about $71,473 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+19 pts: Bitcoin fell 3.5% in the last 24 hours, to about $71,803 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+25 pts: Bitcoin fell 3.1% in the last 24 hours, to about $71,618 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.+13 pts: This market tracks the price of Bitcoin against a target. A swing like this usually follows the price itself, not a news story.+8 pts: Bitcoin fell 1.4% in the last hour, to about $71,426 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

· >99% → 85% in 1h
Bitcoin is little changed over the last hour, near $69,136 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
−14 pts
· 54% → >99% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 6.5% in the last 24 hours, to about $68,915 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+46 pts
· 54% → 89% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 4.0% in the last 24 hours, to about $70,704 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+35 pts
· 54% → 84% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 3.5% in the last 24 hours, to about $71,265 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+30 pts
· 54% → 78% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 3.9% in the last 24 hours, to about $71,473 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+24 pts
· 54% → 73% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 3.5% in the last 24 hours, to about $71,803 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+19 pts
· 54% → 79% in 1d
Bitcoin fell 3.1% in the last 24 hours, to about $71,618 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+25 pts
· 54% → 67% in 1d
This market tracks the price of Bitcoin against a target. A swing like this usually follows the price itself, not a news story.
+13 pts
· 56% → 64% in 1h
Bitcoin fell 1.4% in the last hour, to about $71,426 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target.
+8 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Kalshi $83K
>99%
Kalshi rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 right now?

As of 15:10 UTC on November 13, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at >99%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 100¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 100 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 100% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 change?

The latest big move was −14 pts on November 13, 2026: Bitcoin is little changed over the last hour, near $69,136 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on December 1, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
>99%
7-day range
54% – >99%
Big moves recorded
9 (latest November 13, 2026)
Venues
Kalshi $83K 24h volume
Closes
December 1, 2026
Tracked since
November 10, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 at >99% as of November 13, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-btc-trimmed-mean-be-below-70000-00-by-11-59-pm-et-on-nov-30-2026-below-70).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:10 UTC).