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Will Texas win? (Texas vs LSU)25%▼11Will Utah win? (Utah vs Arizona)42%▼10Will Josh Hokit win? (334: Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit, UFC)33%▼2Will Arizona win? (Utah vs Arizona)59%±0Will Texas Tech win? (Texas Tech vs Oklahoma St)89%±0Will LSU win? (Texas vs LSU)75%▲11Will Indiana win? (USC vs Indiana)90%▲15Will Tennessee win? (Tennessee vs Texas A&M)64%▲12Will Oklahoma City win? (Oklahoma City vs Los Angeles C)76%±0Will Florida St. win? (Florida St. vs Pittsburgh)53%±0Will Pittsburgh win? (Florida St. vs Pittsburgh)48%±0Will Washington win? (Washington vs Michigan St)95%±0Will Ciryl Gane win? (334: Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit, UFC)68%▲1Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jan 1, 2027?79%±0
Daily recap · · weekly recaps →

What moved prediction markets on November 12, 2026

We recorded 201 big moves on November 12, 2026: 113 up and 88 down. The largest was “Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jan 1, 2027?”, up 69 points (18% → 87%). Politics had the most activity, with 37 moves.

+68pts · 1h
NEWSports17% → 85%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $22K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
+39pts · 1d
NEWCulture51% → 89%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+32pts · 1h
NEWSports55% → 87%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
87%now
+32pts · 1d
NEWCulture51% → 83%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+29pts · 1h
NEWSports32% → 61%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
−27pts · 1d
NEWEconomics70% → 43%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+26pts · 1d
NEWCulture51% → 77%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
−23pts · 1d
NEWEconomics85% → 61%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+22pts · 1h
NEWSports64% → 86%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
95%now
+22pts · 1h
NEWSports74% → 95%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
94%now
+20pts · 1h
NEWEconomics43% → 63%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+19pts · 1h
NEWCulture80% → 99%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+17pts · 1h
NEWWeather83% → >99%3 d ago
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
>99%now
+17pts · 1h
NEWSports21% → 37%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
38%now
−16pts · 1h
NEWEconomics92% → 76%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+16pts · 1h
NEWWeather67% → 82%3 d ago
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
13%now
−15pts · 1h
NEWEconomics52% → 37%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $20K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
34%now
+15pts · 1h
NEWCulture46% → 61%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
99%now
−13pts · 1h
NEWEconomics56% → 44%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+13pts · 1h
NEWWeather26% → 39%3 d ago
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
8%now
+12pts · 1d
NEWCulture51% → 63%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+12pts · 1h
NEWSports8% → 20%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $4K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
4%now
−11pts · 1h
NEWWeather74% → 62%3 d ago
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story. 🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
−11pts · 1h
NEWCulture64% → 52%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $4K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
99%now
+11pts · 1h
NEWCrypto67% → 78%3 d ago
Bitcoin fell 0.4% in the last hour, to about $71,259 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $38K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
+11pts · 1h
NEW16% → 27%3 d ago
Related news: Who will replace Jensen Huang? Here's our early thoughts on the search for Nvidia's next CEO Source ↗ 🐋 $13K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
14%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWCulture72% → 82%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWWeather44% → 54%3 d ago
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
8%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWCulture60% → 70%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
−10pts · 1h
NEWCrypto83% → 73%3 d ago
Bitcoin fell 0.4% in the last hour, to about $71,399 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
29%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWSports89% → 99%2 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWSports38% → 47%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
44%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWCulture51% → 60%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+10pts · 1h
NEWWeather39% → 49%3 d ago
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
8%now
−9pts · 1h
NEWTech77% → 67%2 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
96%now
−9pts · 1h
NEWEconomics64% → 55%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $110K of large orders in that window, split between YES and NO.
34%now
−9pts · 1h
NEWSports36% → 27%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
20%now
−9pts · 1h
NEWEconomics70% → 61%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
99%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto59% → 68%3 d ago
Bitcoin is little changed over the last hour, near $71,626 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $10K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
21%now
−9pts · 1h
NEWCulture90% → 81%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
−9pts · 1h
NEWWorld64% → 55%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $6K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
51%now
−9pts · 1h
NEWCrypto65% → 56%2 d ago
Bitcoin fell 0.3% in the last hour, to about $71,265 (Coinbase). This market tracks that price against a target. 🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
21%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWSports89% → 98%2 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
−8pts · 1h
NEWEconomics76% → 68%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
69%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWTech74% → 83%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
96%now
−8pts · 1h
NEWWorld47% → 38%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $6K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
35%now
+9pts · 1h
NEWTech81% → 90%2 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
96%now
−8pts · 1h
NEWSports16% → 8%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
6%now
−8pts · 1h
NEWWeather57% → 49%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
8%now
+8pts · 1h
NEWCulture84% → 92%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
99%now
−8pts · 1h
NEWWorld91% → 83%3 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
93%now
+8pts · 1h
NEWSports76% → 84%2 d ago
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
84%now

Call it results

>99% at lock → >99% at midnight UTC
79% at lock → 79% at midnight UTC
57% at lock → 57% at midnight UTC