Will Chris Van Hollen win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 9%, down 4 points in 24 hours. Latest big move (+10 pts on November 13, 2026): Van Hollen challenges Schumer for Senate leadership.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.
By venue
Questions about this market
What are the odds of will Chris Van Hollen win the next Senate Democratic Leader election right now?
As of 08:10 UTC on November 15, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 9%, down 4 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 9¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 9 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 9% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will Chris Van Hollen win the next Senate Democratic Leader election change?
The latest big move was +10 pts on November 13, 2026: Van Hollen challenges Schumer for Senate leadership. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on December 31, 2028. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 9%
- 7-day range
- 6% – 19%
- Big moves recorded
- 1 (latest November 13, 2026)
- Venues
- Kalshi $32K 24h volume
- Closes
- December 31, 2028
- Tracked since
- November 10, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will Chris Van Hollen win the next Senate Democratic Leader election at 9% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-chris-van-hollen-win-the-next-senate-democratic-leader-election).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:10 UTC).