Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at >99%, unchanged over 24 hours.
Chance over time
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Why it moved
No big moves recorded yet. Follow this market and we will tell you when it swings.
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Questions about this market
What are the odds of will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms right now?
As of 20:30 UTC on November 14, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at >99%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 100¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 100 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 100% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms change?
No move of 5 points or more has been recorded yet. When one happens, it appears above with the headline that likely caused it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on February 1, 2027. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- >99%
- 7-day range
- 96% – >99%
- Big moves recorded
- 0
- Venues
- Kalshi $51K 24h volume
- Closes
- February 1, 2027
- Tracked since
- November 10, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms at >99% as of November 14, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-democrats-hold-235-or-more-seats-in-the-house-after-the-2026-midterms-and).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).