−12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
Snapshot ·
Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027?
47%
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:10 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Big moves before this moment
−9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
47%now
+14pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
+35pts · 1d
Moved after: Bessent blames Lutnick’s commerce department for failure to blacklist Megaspeed - Financial Times Source ↗
47%now
+15pts · 1h
Related news: Bessent blames Lutnick’s commerce department for failure to blacklist Megaspeed - Financial Times Source ↗
47%now
Cite this snapshot
Prediction markets put the chance of will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027 at 47% as of 2026-11-15 08:10 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-howard-lutnick-leaves-secretary-of-commerce-in-before-2027/at/2026-11-15-0810).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.