−37pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
Snapshot ·
Will National win the next New Zealand general election?
39%
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Big moves before this moment
−27pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
−26pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
−23pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
−26pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
Cite this snapshot
Prediction markets put the chance of will National win the next New Zealand general election at 39% as of 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-national-win-the-next-new-zealand-general-election/at/2026-11-15-0820).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.