−18pts · 1d
Hegseth impeachment blocked. Source ↗
15%now
Snapshot ·
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027?
15%
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Big moves before this moment
−16pts · 1d
Trump praises Hegseth in speech. Source ↗
15%now
−11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
15%now
Cite this snapshot
Prediction markets put the chance of will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027 at 15% as of 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-pete-hegseth-be-out-as-secretary-of-defense-before-jan-1-2027-before-jan-1/at/2026-11-15-0820).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.