+8pts · 1h
Moved after: House Dem misses Hegseth impeachment vote because of major medical procedure one week after Election Day Source ↗ 🐋 $11K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
92%now
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Prediction markets put the chance of will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 14 and 16% at 92% as of 2026-11-15 08:20 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-the-democratic-margin-of-victory-in-the-2026-u-s-house-of-representatives/at/2026-11-15-0820).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.