+9pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
2%now
Snapshot ·
Will the maximum temperature be <50° on Nov 13, 2026?
2%
This is the market-implied chance of “Yes” as recorded at 2026-11-15 08:10 UTC. It does not change: this page is a permanent record for citation.
Big moves before this moment
−8pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
2%now
−8pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
2%now
−19pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
2%now
−46pts · 1h
This market follows the weather forecast, which is revised through the day. A swing like this usually reflects a new forecast, not a news story.
2%now
Cite this snapshot
Prediction markets put the chance of will the maximum temperature be <50° on Nov 13, 2026 at 2% as of 2026-11-15 08:10 UTC (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-the-maximum-temperature-be-50-on-nov-13-2026/at/2026-11-15-0810).Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for information only. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.