November 2026
Government shutdown odds (November 2026)
Markets on whether the U.S. federal government shuts down at the next funding deadline, and for how long. Prices are the crowd’s live estimate, not a forecast.
Live government shutdown markets
No live market matches this topic right now. Markets appear here as soon as the venues list them.
Prices checked every 2 minutes. Click a market for the chart and every big move with the headline behind it.
What moves government shutdown odds
Votes in the House and Senate, statements from leadership and the White House, and continuing-resolution deals usually announced in the final 48 hours.
How to read these odds
Each “Yes” contract pays $1 if the event happens. A price of 70¢ means the crowd implies about a 70% chance. Odds are a live estimate, not a forecast, and they can be wrong; see how accurate prediction markets have been and how to read them.
Information only. Not financial or betting advice.