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House Representatives: prediction market odds and what moved them

2 markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are about House Representatives, with prices checked every two minutes. The biggest move of the last 7 days was +8 pts on “Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 14 and 16%?”.

All House Representatives markets

Market	Chance now	Biggest move, 7 days
Who will win the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress?: Hakeem Jeffries	95%	–
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 14 and 16%?	92%	+8 pts

A market's chance is its latest price on Kalshi or Polymarket. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.

What moved, and why

All moves →

+8pts · 1h

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 14 and 16%?

NEWPolitics81% → 90%3 d ago

Moved after: House Dem misses Hegseth impeachment vote because of major medical procedure one week after Election Day Source ↗ 🐋 $11K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.

92%now

This page is put together automatically from the markets that name House Representatives. Explanations come from public headlines and may be wrong; each one links to its source. How it works → · Free alerts on Telegram →