+38pts · 1h
Moved after: SpaceX plans to try first-ever catch of Starship rocket from orbit Source ↗
>99%now
Topic
Tech prediction markets: live odds and what moved them
We track 8 tech markets on Kalshi and Polymarket, updated every two minutes. In the last 7 days, 9 of them had a big move. The largest was +38 pts on “Will SpaceX chopsticks catch Starship 15 before Jan 1, 2027?”.
Most traded tech markets
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?11%▲2 24hWill Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?23%▲2 24hWill Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?10%▼1 24hWill Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by November 30, 2026?4%▲1 24hWill Jensen Huang be the #1 searched person on Google this year?34%▼3 24hWill Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA?3%±0 24hWill SpaceX chopsticks catch Starship 15 before Jan 1, 2027?>99%Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Gemini72%±0 24h
Recent big moves
All tech moves →−10pts · 1h
Related news: SpaceX Starship Flight 15 live updates: Starship heat shield looks good for landing attempt today - Space Source ↗
>99%now
+8pts · 1h
SpaceX launches Starship 15. Source ↗
>99%now
−13pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
23%now
−14pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
12%now
−12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
23%now
−17pts · 1d
Moved after: What's ahead for AI financing after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang departs Source ↗
12%now
+9pts · 1h
Nvidia CEO steps down. Source ↗ 🐋 $3K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
11%now
+12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
95%now
+19pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
96%now