Free alerts
Will Texas win? (Texas vs LSU)25%▼11Will Utah win? (Utah vs Arizona)42%▼10Will Josh Hokit win? (334: Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit, UFC)33%▼2Will Arizona win? (Utah vs Arizona)59%±0Will Texas Tech win? (Texas Tech vs Oklahoma St)89%±0Will LSU win? (Texas vs LSU)75%▲11Will Indiana win? (USC vs Indiana)90%▲15Will Tennessee win? (Tennessee vs Texas A&M)64%▲12Will Oklahoma City win? (Oklahoma City vs Los Angeles C)76%±0Will Florida St. win? (Florida St. vs Pittsburgh)53%±0Will Pittsburgh win? (Florida St. vs Pittsburgh)48%±0Will Washington win? (Washington vs Michigan St)95%±0Will Ciryl Gane win? (334: Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit, UFC)68%▲1Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO before Jan 1, 2027?79%±0
Polymarket wallet · 🐋 Whale

0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56b0288

Shown on Polymarket as flawfence. Profile on Polymarket ↗

Open positions on Polymarket$657K · 🐋 Whale
First large order we recorded3 d ago
Large orders, last 30 days$14K in 2 orders on 1 market
Where the money went$14K YES · $0 NO
On markets that resolvednone resolved yet

Pro: send /follow 0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56b0288 to @CallquakeBot to get this wallet's large orders as they happen.

Profit curve from Apr 26, 2026 No sports

Cumulative result of the wallet's positions, fees taken out, without rewards or rebates: +$1.1M since its first trade. Lowest −$27K, highest +$1.1M in the period shown.

PeriodProfitWorst drawdownMonths in profitProfit on volumeSteadiness
90 days+$657K−$244K2 of 311.0%56
180 days+$1.2M−$363K5 of 68.1%60
1 yearhistory shorter than this period

A steadiness figure in bold means the wallet qualifies for the Steady wallets list in that period. Read from Polymarket 19 h ago, once a day.

Month by month

November 2026+$239K
October 2026+$621K
September 2026−$83K
August 2026+$14K
July 2026+$143K
June 2026+$192K
May 2026+$13K

Largest open positions

MarketValue nowGain or loss
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · bought at about 64¢, now 82¢
$310K+$105K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes · bought at about 26¢, now 100¢
$172K+$130K
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Yes · bought at about 36¢, now 94¢
$40K+$26K
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · bought at about 86¢, now 84¢
$30K−$223
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No · bought at about 82¢, now 93¢
$28K+$6K
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No · bought at about 54¢, now 51¢
$11K−$874
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · bought at about 84¢, now 30¢
$10K−$29K
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes · bought at about 24¢, now 47¢
$10K+$5K

As Polymarket reports them, refreshed every 15 minutes. Wallet sizes: 🐟 Fish under $1K · 🐬 Dolphin $1K to $10K · 🦈 Shark $10K to $100K · 🐋 Whale $100K to $1M · 🐳 Humpback above $1M.

Shark and larger orders

No Shark or larger orders to show yet (orders appear 30 minutes after they happen).

A wallet is an address, not a person: one person can use several. Figures count orders of $1,000 or more on the markets we track, and of $10,000 or more on other markets, on Polymarket's international platform, since we started recording. A past record does not predict the next result, and nothing here is a suggestion to follow anyone. To have an address removed from these pages, write to hello@callquake.com. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.