0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318
Shown on Polymarket as balthazar. Profile on Polymarket ↗
| Open positions on Polymarket | $237K · 🐋 Whale |
| First large order we recorded | 3 d ago |
| Large orders, last 30 days | $9K in 3 orders on 3 markets |
| Where the money went | $2K YES · $7K NO |
| On markets that resolved | none resolved yet |
Pro: send /follow 0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318 to @CallquakeBot to get this wallet's large orders as they happen.
Profit curve from Nov 16, 2025 No sports
Cumulative result of the wallet's positions, fees taken out, without rewards or rebates: +$998K since its first trade. Lowest −$167, highest +$1.2M in the period shown.
| Period | Profit | Worst drawdown | Months in profit | Profit on volume | Steadiness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 days | +$305K | −$281K | 2 of 3 | 3.2% | 72 |
| 180 days | +$796K | −$281K | 5 of 6 | 3.1% | 95 |
| 1 year | +$998K | −$281K | 12 of 12 | 2.4% | 90 |
A steadiness figure in bold means the wallet qualifies for the Steady wallets list in that period. Read from Polymarket 19 h ago, once a day.
Month by month
| November 2026 | −$101K |
| October 2026 | −$67K |
| September 2026 | +$408K |
| August 2026 | +$64K |
| July 2026 | +$189K |
| June 2026 | +$171K |
| May 2026 | +$181K |
| April 2026 | +$86K |
| March 2026 | +$16K |
| February 2026 | +$32K |
| January 2026 | +$16K |
| December 2025 | +$4K |
Largest open positions
| Market | Value now | Gain or loss |
|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No · bought at about 50¢, now 92¢ | $22K | +$10K |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes · bought at about 77¢, now 96¢ | $12K | −$9K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No · bought at about 95¢, now 94¢ | $12K | −$339 |
| Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more? No · bought at about 55¢, now 98¢ | $9K | +$4K |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes · bought at about 68¢, now 98¢ | $8K | +$2K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes · bought at about 85¢, now 99¢ | $6K | +$865 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes · bought at about 75¢, now 98¢ | $6K | −$1K |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes · bought at about 93¢, now 97¢ | $6K | +$477 |
As Polymarket reports them, refreshed every 15 minutes. Wallet sizes: 🐟 Fish under $1K · 🐬 Dolphin $1K to $10K · 🦈 Shark $10K to $100K · 🐋 Whale $100K to $1M · 🐳 Humpback above $1M.
Shark and larger orders
A wallet is an address, not a person: one person can use several. Figures count orders of $1,000 or more on the markets we track, and of $10,000 or more on other markets, on Polymarket's international platform, since we started recording. A past record does not predict the next result, and nothing here is a suggestion to follow anyone. To have an address removed from these pages, write to hello@callquake.com. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.