0xc3daa1bb9ce85866fb1a7c3a5d02816798e641fe
Shown on Polymarket as aghy. Profile on Polymarket ↗
| Open positions on Polymarket | $47K · 🦈 Shark |
| First large order we recorded | 4 d ago |
| Large orders, last 30 days | $21K in 4 orders on 3 markets |
| Where the money went | $15K YES · $6K NO |
| On markets that resolved | none resolved yet |
Pro: send /follow 0xc3daa1bb9ce85866fb1a7c3a5d02816798e641fe to @CallquakeBot to get this wallet's large orders as they happen.
Profit curve from Jul 21, 2026 No sports
Cumulative result of the wallet's positions, fees taken out, without rewards or rebates: +$199K since its first trade. Lowest −$104K, highest +$201K in the period shown.
| Period | Profit | Worst drawdown | Months in profit | Profit on volume | Steadiness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 days | +$300K | −$56K | 3 of 3 | 126.2% | 77 |
| 180 days | history shorter than this period | ||||
| 1 year | history shorter than this period | ||||
A steadiness figure in bold means the wallet qualifies for the Steady wallets list in that period. Read from Polymarket 17 h ago, once a day.
Month by month
| November 2026 | +$301 |
| October 2026 | +$22K |
| September 2026 | +$218K |
| August 2026 | +$16K |
Largest open positions
| Market | Value now | Gain or loss |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes · bought at about 86¢, now 87¢ | $21K | +$240 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? Yes · bought at about 37¢, now 52¢ | $12K | +$3K |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? Yes · bought at about 42¢, now 70¢ | $7K | +$3K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes · bought at about 9¢, now 9¢ | $5K | +$261 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? Yes · bought at about 17¢, now 15¢ | $813 | −$25 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? Yes · bought at about 86¢, now 96¢ | $501 | +$51 |
As Polymarket reports them, refreshed every 15 minutes. Wallet sizes: 🐟 Fish under $1K · 🐬 Dolphin $1K to $10K · 🦈 Shark $10K to $100K · 🐋 Whale $100K to $1M · 🐳 Humpback above $1M.
Shark and larger orders
| Size | Order | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 🦈 Shark 4 d ago | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? $10K bought YES at 86¢ | 87% now |
A wallet is an address, not a person: one person can use several. Figures count orders of $1,000 or more on the markets we track, and of $10,000 or more on other markets, on Polymarket's international platform, since we started recording. A past record does not predict the next result, and nothing here is a suggestion to follow anyone. To have an address removed from these pages, write to hello@callquake.com. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.