0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418
Shown on Polymarket as ArmageddonRewardsBilly. Profile on Polymarket ↗
| Open positions on Polymarket | $846K · 🐋 Whale |
| Large orders, last 30 days | none recorded |
Pro: send /follow 0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418 to @CallquakeBot to get this wallet's large orders as they happen.
Profit curve from Nov 16, 2025 No sports
Cumulative result of the wallet's positions, fees taken out, without rewards or rebates: +$321K since its first trade. Lowest −$400K, highest +$524K in the period shown.
| Period | Profit | Worst drawdown | Months in profit | Profit on volume | Steadiness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 days | +$705K | −$236K | 3 of 3 | 3.9% | 68 |
| 180 days | +$137K | −$585K | 3 of 6 | 0.1% | 30 |
| 1 year | +$15K | −$924K | 7 of 12 | 0.0% | 0 |
A steadiness figure in bold means the wallet qualifies for the Steady wallets list in that period. Read from Polymarket 18 h ago, once a day.
Month by month
| November 2026 | +$24K |
| October 2026 | −$9K |
| September 2026 | +$572K |
| August 2026 | +$60K |
| July 2026 | −$82K |
| June 2026 | −$204K |
| May 2026 | −$357K |
| April 2026 | −$123K |
| March 2026 | +$374 |
| February 2026 | +$81K |
| January 2026 | −$73K |
| December 2025 | +$126K |
Largest open positions
| Market | Value now | Gain or loss |
|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No · bought at about 50¢, now 85¢ | $195K | +$80K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes · bought at about 88¢, now 87¢ | $49K | +$823 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No · bought at about 82¢, now 91¢ | $36K | +$7K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes · bought at about 50¢, now 15¢ | $35K | −$80K |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No · bought at about 83¢, now 88¢ | $22K | +$964 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No · bought at about 61¢, now 91¢ | $22K | +$14K |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No · bought at about 83¢, now 96¢ | $21K | +$5K |
| Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? Yes · bought at about 92¢, now 93¢ | $20K | +$191 |
As Polymarket reports them, refreshed every 15 minutes. Wallet sizes: 🐟 Fish under $1K · 🐬 Dolphin $1K to $10K · 🦈 Shark $10K to $100K · 🐋 Whale $100K to $1M · 🐳 Humpback above $1M.
Shark and larger orders
A wallet is an address, not a person: one person can use several. Figures count orders of $1,000 or more on the markets we track, and of $10,000 or more on other markets, on Polymarket's international platform, since we started recording. A past record does not predict the next result, and nothing here is a suggestion to follow anyone. To have an address removed from these pages, write to hello@callquake.com. Information only. Not financial or betting advice.