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DP World Tour Championship: Rory McIlroy wins

Closes 29 Nov 2026 · Source: Kalshi · updated 4 min ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
13%
1h +524h −297d −13

As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 13%, down 29 points in 24 hours. The latest big move (−29 pts on November 15, 2026) had no news story we could tie it to.

Chance over time

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

· 43% → 13% in 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
−29 pts
· 40% → 21% in 1h
Tyrrell Hatton takes solo lead. Source ↗ 🐋 $2K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
−19 pts
· 44% → 36% in 1h
Tyrrell Hatton takes solo lead. Source ↗
−8 pts
· 31% → 43% in 1d
Moved after: McIlroy, Hatton share 36-hole lead at World Tour Championship Source ↗
+12 pts
· 38% → 55% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
+17 pts
· 30% → 38% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
+8 pts
· 36% → 27% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
−9 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Kalshi $21K
13%
Kalshi rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of dP World Tour Championship: Rory McIlroy wins right now?

As of 08:20 UTC on November 15, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 13%, down 29 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 13¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 13 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 13% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of dP World Tour Championship: Rory McIlroy wins change?

The latest big move was −29 pts on November 15, 2026, and we found no news story behind it. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on November 29, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
13%
7-day range
8% – 56%
Big moves recorded
7 (latest November 15, 2026)
Venues
Kalshi $21K 24h volume
Closes
November 29, 2026
Tracked since
November 12, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of dP World Tour Championship: Rory McIlroy wins at 13% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/dp-world-tour-championship-rory-mcilroy-wins).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).