Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
As of , polymarket traders put the chance of “Yes” at 40%, unchanged over 24 hours. Latest big move (−11 pts on November 9, 2026): Rubio defends Trump's Iran war stance.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
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By venue
Questions about this market
What are the odds of next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026 right now?
As of 15:30 UTC on November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 40%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 40¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 40 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 40% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026 change?
The latest big move was −11 pts on November 9, 2026: Rubio defends Trump's Iran war stance. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on December 31, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 40%
- 7-day range
- 39% – 49%
- Big moves recorded
- 1 (latest November 9, 2026)
- Venues
- Polymarket $71K 24h volume
- Closes
- December 31, 2026
- Tracked since
- November 9, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026 at 40% as of November 10, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-by-december-31-2026).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:30 UTC).