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Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Closes 28 Oct 2026 · Source: Polymarket · updated 6 min ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
18%
1h −124h −27d −1

This market closed on October 28, 2026. Polymarket traders last priced “Yes” at 18%.

Chance over time

10%15%20%25%30%MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

No big moves recorded yet. Follow this market and we will tell you when it swings.

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Polymarket $114K
18%
Polymarket rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel right now?

As of 08:30 UTC on November 15, 2026, Polymarket traders price “Yes” at 18%, down 2 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 18¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 18 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 18% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel change?

No move of 5 points or more has been recorded yet. When one happens, it appears above with the headline that likely caused it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on October 28, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
18%
7-day range
17% – 28%
Big moves recorded
0
Venues
Polymarket $114K 24h volume
Closes
October 28, 2026
Tracked since
November 7, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Polymarket, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel at 18% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:30 UTC).