Will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?
As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at >99%, unchanged over 24 hours. Latest big move (+16 pts on November 12, 2026): This market tracks the price of Bitcoin against a target. A swing like this usually follows the price itself, not a news story.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
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Questions about this market
What are the odds of will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 right now?
As of 14:40 UTC on November 12, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at >99%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 100¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 100 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 100% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 change?
The latest big move was +16 pts on November 12, 2026: This market tracks the price of Bitcoin against a target. A swing like this usually follows the price itself, not a news story. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on December 1, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- >99%
- 7-day range
- 72% – >99%
- Big moves recorded
- 4 (latest November 12, 2026)
- Venues
- Kalshi $20K 24h volume
- Closes
- December 1, 2026
- Tracked since
- November 10, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 at >99% as of November 12, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-btc-trimmed-mean-be-below-72500-00-by-11-59-pm-et-on-nov-30-2026-below-72).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).