Daily recap · · weekly recaps →
What moved prediction markets on November 11, 2026
We recorded 140 big moves on November 11, 2026: 46 up and 94 down. The largest was “Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?”, down 78 points (81% → 3%). Politics had the most activity, with 58 moves.
−78pts · 1d
Explanation removed after review.
3%now
−78pts · 1d
House votes to end impeachment effort against Pete Hegseth. Source ↗
3%now
−78pts · 1d
Explanation removed after review.
3%now
−78pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
3%now
−78pts · 1d
House effectively ends Hegseth impeachment. Source ↗
3%now
−78pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
3%now
−76pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
3%now
−75pts · 1d
House votes to end the impeachment effort against Pete Hegseth. Source ↗
3%now
−75pts · 1d
House votes to end the impeachment effort against Pete Hegseth. Source ↗
3%now
−64pts · 1d
Hegseth impeachment was blocked. Source ↗
3%now
−62pts · 1d
Explanation removed after review.
3%now
−56pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
−55pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
+52pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
62%now
−51pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
−47pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $7K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
39%now
+35pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
−27pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
74%now
−26pts · 1d
House GOP shelves Pete Hegseth impeachment articles. Source ↗
5%now
−25pts · 1d
Cruz says Hegseth will resign, be fired or get impeached. Source ↗
5%now
−24pts · 1d
House GOP shelves Pete Hegseth impeachment articles. Source ↗
18%now
−23pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
94%now
−23pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
94%now
−22pts · 1d
Traffic incident prevented voting on Hegseth impeachment. Source ↗
18%now
−21pts · 1d
Pete Hegseth impeachment vote was delayed. Source ↗
18%now
−21pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
18%now
−21pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
18%now
−21pts · 1d
House votes to end impeachment effort against Pete Hegseth. Source ↗
18%now
−21pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
−20pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
94%now
+21pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
74%now
+20pts · 1h
Kudlow calls on Nvidia CEO to step down. Source ↗ 🐋 $4K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
88%now
−18pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
94%now
−18pts · 1d
House ends Hegseth impeachment. Source ↗
18%now
+18pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
85%now
−18pts · 1d
Hegseth impeachment blocked. Source ↗
15%now
+18pts · 1h
Kudlow calls on Nvidia CEO to step down. Source ↗ 🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
96%now
−17pts · 1d
Anthropic said to raise IPO valuation. Source ↗
23%now
−17pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
18%now
−17pts · 1d
Hegseth impeachment blocked. Source ↗
39%now
+17pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $12K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
+17pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
97%now
−16pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
−16pts · 1d
Trump praises Hegseth in speech. Source ↗
15%now
−16pts · 1d
Trump praises Hegseth in speech. Source ↗
39%now
−16pts · 1d
Hegseth impeachment blocked. Source ↗
16%now
−16pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
16%now
−16pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
4%now
+15pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
95%now
−15pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
91%now
+15pts · 1d
Fed's Goolsbee calls inflation report disturbing. Source ↗
54%now
−15pts · 1d
Trump praises Hegseth in speech. Source ↗
16%now
−15pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
−15pts · 1d
House votes to end impeachment effort against Pete Hegseth. Source ↗
5%now
−15pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
4%now
−15pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
4%now
−15pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
4%now
−15pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
5%now
−14pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
5%now
−14pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
60%now
−14pts · 1d
House votes to end the impeachment effort against Pete Hegseth. Source ↗
5%now
−14pts · 1d
Hegseth impeachment vote was delayed. Source ↗
5%now
−14pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
−14pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
33%now
−14pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $1K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
43%now
+14pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+14pts · 1h
Jensen Huang faces resignation calls. Source ↗
14%now
+13pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
95%now
+13pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
95%now
+13pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
95%now
+13pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $7K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
62%now
−13pts · 1d
Trump praises Hegseth in speech. Source ↗
18%now
−13pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
+13pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
44%now
+13pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
+13pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
68%now
−12pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
45%now
−12pts · 1d
Fed calls inflation report disturbing. Source ↗
46%now
−12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
11%now
+13pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
+13pts · 1h
Nvidia prepares to oust Jensen Huang. Source ↗ 🐋 $22K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
−12pts · 1d
House effectively ends Hegseth impeachment. Source ↗
5%now
−12pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
47%now
+12pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
69%now
−12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
5%now
+12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
97%now
+12pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $3K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
44%now
−12pts · 1d
Trump praises Hegseth in speech. Source ↗
61%now
−12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
−12pts · 1d
Trump praises Hegseth in speech. Source ↗
18%now
+12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
85%now
−12pts · 1d
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
−12pts · 1d
Hegseth impeachment blocked. Source ↗
18%now
+12pts · 1h
Kudlow calls on Nvidia CEO to step down. Source ↗ 🐋 $4K of large orders in that window, split between YES and NO.
79%now
−11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $12K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
62%now
−11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
45%now
−11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
11%now
−11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $10K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
−11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
11%now
+11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+11pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
11%now
−10pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $10K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
39%now
−10pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
71%now
−10pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $232K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
39%now
−10pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
97%now
−10pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
74%now
−10pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $5K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
39%now
+10pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
−10pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
+10pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
94%now
+10pts · 1h
Nvidia prepares to oust Jensen Huang. Source ↗ 🐋 $86K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
69%now
+9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
11%now
−9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
62%now
+9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
62%now
+9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $39K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
39%now
+9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
62%now
+9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $7K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
>99%now
−9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
62%now
−8pts · 1h
House votes to end impeachment effort against Pete Hegseth. Source ↗
61%now
−8pts · 1h
House votes to end the impeachment effort against Pete Hegseth. Source ↗
74%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
94%now
+9pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
85%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.🐋 $22K of large orders in that window, mostly on YES.
23%now
−8pts · 1h
Jim Cramer praises Anthropic's growth. Source ↗ 🐋 $4K of large orders in that window, mostly on NO.
23%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
85%now
+8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
62%now
+8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
80%now
+8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
33%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
33%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
99%now
+8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
39%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
80%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
+8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
>99%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
89%now
+8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
89%now
−8pts · 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
44%now
Call it results
67% at lock → 67% at midnight UTC
85% at lock → 87% at midnight UTC
12% at lock → 11% at midnight UTC