Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at >99%, unchanged over 24 hours. Latest big move (−8 pts on November 12, 2026): Related news: A New Deal for the Age of AI: How Democrats can hold Big Tech accountable.
Chance over time
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Why it moved
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Questions about this market
What are the odds of will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms right now?
As of 08:20 UTC on November 15, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at >99%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 100¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 100 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 100% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms change?
The latest big move was −8 pts on November 12, 2026: Related news: A New Deal for the Age of AI: How Democrats can hold Big Tech accountable. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on February 1, 2027. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- >99%
- 7-day range
- 93% – >99%
- Big moves recorded
- 1 (latest November 12, 2026)
- Venues
- Kalshi $46K 24h volume
- Closes
- February 1, 2027
- Tracked since
- November 10, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms at >99% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-democrats-hold-218-or-more-seats-in-the-house-after-the-2026-midterms-and).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).