Will it be confirmed that a failure at a telecommunications carrier or other FAA contractor caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13?
As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 98%, up 10 points in 24 hours. The latest big move (+10 pts on November 14, 2026) followed the headline “3,000+ flights canceled after FAA’s ground stop”.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.
By venue
Questions about this market
What are the odds of will it be confirmed that a failure at a telecommunications carrier or other FAA contractor caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 right now?
As of 17:56 UTC on November 14, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 98%, up 10 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 98¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 98 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 98% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will it be confirmed that a failure at a telecommunications carrier or other FAA contractor caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 change?
The latest big move was +10 pts on November 14, 2026: 3,000+ flights canceled after FAA’s ground stop. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on December 1, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 98%
- 7-day range
- 67% – 99%
- Big moves recorded
- 3 (latest November 14, 2026)
- Venues
- Kalshi $55K 24h volume
- Closes
- December 1, 2026
- Tracked since
- November 14, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will it be confirmed that a failure at a telecommunications carrier or other FAA contractor caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 at 98% as of November 14, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-it-be-confirmed-that-a-failure-at-a-telecommunications-carrier-or-other).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:00 UTC).