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Will it be confirmed that a failure in a network or system run by L3Harris caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13?

Closes 01 Dec 2026 · Source: Kalshi · updated 14 h ago · prices checked every 2 minutes
97%
1h ±024h +37d +10

As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 97%, up 3 points in 24 hours. The latest big move (+12 pts on November 14, 2026) followed the headline “3,000+ flights canceled after FAA’s ground stop”.

Chance over time

Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.

Why it moved

· 84% → 96% in 1h
Moved after: 3,000+ flights canceled after FAA’s ground stop Source ↗
+12 pts
· 68% → 76% in 1h
Related news: 3,000+ flights canceled after FAA’s ground stop Source ↗
+8 pts
· 95% → 87% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
−8 pts
· 87% → 95% in 1h
We couldn't tie this move to a news story yet. Swings like this can also come from large trades, rumors or news that hasn't been reported.
+9 pts

Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.

By venue

Kalshi $62K
97%
Kalshi rules ↗

Questions about this market

What are the odds of will it be confirmed that a failure in a network or system run by L3Harris caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 right now?

As of 17:56 UTC on November 14, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 97%, up 3 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.

How do I read a 97¢ contract?

A “Yes” contract costs about 97 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 97% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Why did the odds of will it be confirmed that a failure in a network or system run by L3Harris caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 change?

The latest big move was +12 pts on November 14, 2026: 3,000+ flights canceled after FAA’s ground stop. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.

When does this market resolve?

Trading closes on December 1, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.

Key facts

Market-implied chance
97%
7-day range
68% – 99%
Big moves recorded
4 (latest November 14, 2026)
Venues
Kalshi $62K 24h volume
Closes
December 1, 2026
Tracked since
November 14, 2026
Last updated

How to read these odds · How we calculate this

Cite this market

Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.

Prediction markets put the chance of will it be confirmed that a failure in a network or system run by L3Harris caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 at 97% as of November 14, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-it-be-confirmed-that-a-failure-in-a-network-or-system-run-by-l3harris).

Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:00 UTC).