Will it be confirmed that a software or configuration error caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13?
As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 79%, up 6 points in 24 hours. Latest big move (+8 pts on November 14, 2026): Related news: 'Root cause’ of nationwide ground stop is unknown, FAA says.
Chance over time
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Why it moved
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Questions about this market
What are the odds of will it be confirmed that a software or configuration error caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 right now?
As of 08:00 UTC on November 15, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 79%, up 6 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 79¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 79 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 79% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will it be confirmed that a software or configuration error caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 change?
The latest big move was +8 pts on November 14, 2026: Related news: 'Root cause’ of nationwide ground stop is unknown, FAA says. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on December 1, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 79%
- 7-day range
- 56% – 83%
- Big moves recorded
- 3 (latest November 14, 2026)
- Venues
- Kalshi $18K 24h volume
- Closes
- December 1, 2026
- Tracked since
- November 14, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will it be confirmed that a software or configuration error caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13 at 79% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-it-be-confirmed-that-a-software-or-configuration-error-caused-the-faa-s).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:00 UTC).