Will Pete Hegseth be impeached before Nov 21, 2026?
As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 11%, unchanged over 24 hours. Latest big move (+16 pts on November 10, 2026): Tillis leans toward impeaching Hegseth.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.
By venue
Questions about this market
What are the odds of will Pete Hegseth be impeached before Nov 21, 2026 right now?
As of 23:02 UTC on November 10, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 11%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 11¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 11 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 11% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will Pete Hegseth be impeached before Nov 21, 2026 change?
The latest big move was +16 pts on November 10, 2026: Tillis leans toward impeaching Hegseth. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on November 21, 2026. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 11%
- 7-day range
- 11% – 66%
- Big moves recorded
- 2 (latest November 10, 2026)
- Venues
- Kalshi $18K 24h volume
- Closes
- November 21, 2026
- Tracked since
- November 10, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will Pete Hegseth be impeached before Nov 21, 2026 at 11% as of November 10, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-pete-hegseth-be-impeached-before-nov-21-2026-before-nov-21-2026).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).