Will the Democratic party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 97%, up 1 point in 24 hours. Latest big move (−15 pts on November 12, 2026): Colom wins Mississippi Senate race.
Chance over time
Dots mark big moves. Select one to read why it happened.
Why it moved
Information only. Not financial or betting advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket.
By venue
Questions about this market
What are the odds of will the Democratic party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 120th Congress right now?
As of 08:20 UTC on November 15, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 97%, up 1 points over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 97¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 97 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 97% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will the Democratic party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 120th Congress change?
The latest big move was −15 pts on November 12, 2026: Colom wins Mississippi Senate race. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on February 1, 2027. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 97%
- 7-day range
- 82% – 97%
- Big moves recorded
- 1 (latest November 12, 2026)
- Venues
- Kalshi $26K 24h volume
- Closes
- February 1, 2027
- Tracked since
- November 10, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will the Democratic party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 120th Congress at 97% as of November 15, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-the-democratic-party-hold-exactly-56-senate-seats-in-the-120th-congress).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).