Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 10%?
As of , kalshi traders put the chance of “Yes” at 90%, unchanged over 24 hours. The latest big move (+12 pts on November 10, 2026) had no news story we could tie it to.
Chance over time
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Why it moved
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Questions about this market
What are the odds of will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 10% right now?
As of 01:10 UTC on November 11, 2026, Kalshi traders price “Yes” at 90%, unchanged over 24 hours. The page refreshes every 2 minutes.
How do I read a 90¢ contract?
A “Yes” contract costs about 90 cents and pays $1 if the event happens, so the market implies roughly a 90% chance. The price is a crowd estimate, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Why did the odds of will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 10% change?
The latest big move was +12 pts on November 10, 2026, and we found no news story behind it. Every move we recorded is listed above with the headline behind it.
When does this market resolve?
Trading closes on November 3, 2027. Each venue resolves under its own written rules, linked in the “By venue” section; the odds above are not a prediction of the outcome.
Key facts
- Market-implied chance
- 90%
- 7-day range
- 74% – 93%
- Big moves recorded
- 2 (latest November 10, 2026)
- Venues
- Kalshi $18K 24h volume
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
- Tracked since
- November 10, 2026
- Last updated
Cite this market
Copy and paste, with the link. Odds are from Kalshi, shown here for information only.
Prediction markets put the chance of will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be between 8% and 10% at 90% as of November 11, 2026 (Callquake, https://callquake.com/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-nithya-raman-in-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral).Need a price that never changes? Permanent link to this moment (the page keeps the price recorded at 08:20 UTC).